Match Info

Date: 9 June 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo (San Cristóbal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Argote J. (Ven)


	Deportivo Táchira		Aragua

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.5	3.4	5.5
	1.47	3.7	6.2
	1.49	3.66	5.47
	1.5	3.6	6.5
	1.51	3.95	6.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.71)	3.7 ↑ (3.24)	5.94 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Táchira
60.4%

Draw
24.4%

Aragua
15.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

28.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Táchira's performance.

Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Táchira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Deportivo Táchira - Aragua Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Aragua will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Táchira: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Táchira won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Deportivo Táchira is certain favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Deportivo Táchira won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 32-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Táchira won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.06.22	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	1:0 ✺
28.05.22	Deportivo Táchira - Monagas	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.05.22	Palmeiras - Deportivo Táchira	4:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
21.05.22	Mineros de Guayana - Deportivo Táchira	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.05.22	Deportivo Táchira - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWW
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.06.22	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	1:0 ✺
27.05.22	Aragua - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1 ✺
22.05.22	Metropolitanos - Aragua	1:1 ✺
12.05.22	Aragua - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
06.05.22	Monagas - Aragua	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
05.06.22	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	1:0
04.12.20	Deportivo Táchira - Aragua	1:1
09.11.20	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	0:1
08.02.20	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	1:0
02.11.19	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	1:2
12.05.19	Deportivo Táchira - Aragua	1:2
17.10.18	Deportivo Táchira - Aragua	3:1

Deportivo Táchira - Aragua