Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Deportivo Xinabajul		Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.5	5.75
	1.5	3.85	4.7
	1.49	3.6	5.58
	1.5	3.4	6.5
	1.53	3.75	6
	1.55	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	3.63 ↓ (3.68)	5.72 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Xinabajul
59.5%

Draw
24.8%

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
15.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24.9%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23.8%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Xinabajul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Xinabajul than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Deportivo Xinabajul - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Xinabajul will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Santa Lucía will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Recent matches Xinabajul is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Lucía is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Lucía could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Xinabajul is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Xinabajul won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Xinabajul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Xinabajul
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.03.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Xinabajul	4:1 ✺
08.03.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Antigua GFC	3:1 ✺
01.03.23	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Malacateco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWTT
- Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.03.23	Xelajú - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Deportivo Mixco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
01.03.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Iztapa	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
22.02.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	0:1
16.11.22	Deportivo Xinabajul - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:1
04.09.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	0:2

Deportivo Xinabajul - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa