Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 9

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday


	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa		Deportivo Achuapa

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.4
	1.7	3.2	4.5
	1.71	3.38	5.08
	1.67	3.55	4.9
	1.68	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)	4.76 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
53.9%

Draw
27%

Deportivo Achuapa
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.8%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25.9%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 3.

Recent matches Santa Lucía is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Achuapa is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Achuapa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santa Lucía is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucía won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.02.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
15.02.23	Antigua GFC - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Cobán Imperial	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Malacateco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTTWL
- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.02.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	4:2 ✺
19.02.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	3:0 ✺
15.02.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Municipal	0:1 ✺
10.02.23	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.09.22	Deportivo Achuapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:1
24.07.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0
20.03.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0
23.01.22	Deportivo Achuapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	0:3
06.11.21	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0
29.08.21	Deportivo Achuapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	0:2
02.05.21	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa	0:2

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide