Match Info

GUATEMALA: Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio David Ordoñez Bardales (Zacapa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Claro Sports
Venezuela	Inter


	Deportivo Zacapa		Malacateco

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.4
	1.99	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.11	3.96
	1.99	3.16	4.05	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	1.92	3.13	3.88	Watch
	1.99	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.17)	3.09 ↑ (3)	3.66 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Zacapa
45.6%

Draw
29.5%

Malacateco
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Zacapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Zacapa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Deportivo Zacapa - Malacateco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Flores E. (G) 6. Aguero J. 8. Aldana B. 77. Castaneda B. 20. Garcia E. 21. Garcia K. 17. Marroquin D. 12. Milla J. 19. Ordonez B. 28. Osurak M. 16. Reyes D.	30. Guzman A. (G) 15. Aguilar C. 11. Andrade N. 93. Chun M. 12. Godoy W. 14. Laparra J. 10. Ochoa J. 43. Perez Y. Y. 8. Ramirez K. 27. Sansores M. 5. Soto A.
Substitutes
. Coito S. 11. Escobar H. 14. Guzman Miron D. J. 5. Macal E. 33. Morales O. (G) 23. Perez L. 10. Pizarro T.	20. Alvarado M. 80. Amaya W. 18. Cabrera N. 44. Chajaj C. 21. Lopez A. 99. Lopez E. 77. Perez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Sansores M. 🟨,
6', Ochoa J. 🟨,
13', Reyes D. 🟨,
34', Chun M. 🟨,
41', Osurak M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Reyes D. ↓, Macal E. ↑,
46', Ordonez B. ↓, Tinoco G. ↑,
61', Milla J. ↓, Pizarro T. ↑,
65', Ochoa J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
68', Garcia E. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Ramirez K. ⚽,
76', Sansores M. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
76', Laparra J. ↓, Amaya W. ↑,
81', Aldana B. ↓, Coito S. ↑,
90+4', Andrade N. ↓, Cabrera N. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Zacapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.09.24	Municipal - Deportivo Zacapa	5:0 ✺
14.09.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Marquense	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Zacapa	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Zacapa	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Cobán Imperial	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTLT
- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
20.09.24	Malacateco - Cobán Imperial	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Antigua GFC - Malacateco	3:1 ✺
07.09.24	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Marquense - Malacateco	2:2 ✺
23.08.24	Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.04.24	Malacateco - Deportivo Zacapa	2:1
26.11.23	Deportivo Zacapa - Malacateco	4:0

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