Match Info

FAI Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday

Location: The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Derry City		Tolka Rovers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.04	13.00	31.00
	1.01	11.50	23.00
	1.03	13.86	28.29
	1.06	10.52	28.17	Watch
	1.01	13.00	28.00
	1.00	12.20	30.00
	1.03	10.00	35.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↓ (1.14)	12.01 ↑ (7.5)	29.07 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derry City
89.2%

Draw
7.6%

Tolka Rovers
3.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derry City's performance.

Tolka Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tolka Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Derry City - Tolka Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, O'Reilly A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, Chapman E. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Derry has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tolka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Derry is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Irish FAI Cup for now

Derry City: 15.32%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derry City
UEFA Europa League
16.07.26	Derry City - CSKA Sofia	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	CSKA Sofia - Derry City	3:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
03.07.26	Derry City - Waterford	2:4 ✺
26.06.26	Derry City - Drogheda United	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Shamrock Rovers - Derry City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWT
- Tolka Rovers
Irish FAI Cup
16.05.26	Fairview Rangers - Tolka Rovers	0:3 ✺
18.07.25	Galway United - Tolka Rovers	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Tolka Rovers - Janesboro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLW

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