Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Imolese

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.47	3.21	Watch
	2.05	3.33	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.03)	3.4 ↓ (3.47)	3.21 (3.21)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
44.7%

Draw
26.8%

Imolese
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

25.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Imolese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Rizzi M. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Brighenti A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, Mattiolo G. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 2, Antonelli F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
90+12', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+12', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+12', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Desenzano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Imolese is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Desenzano could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Desenzano Calvina - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.1%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.11.25	Sasso Marconi - Desenzano Calvina	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Rovato Vertovese	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Tropical Coriano	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Pro Sesto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTT
- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.11.25	Imolese - Tropical Coriano	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Imolese	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Imolese - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Crema - Imolese	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Imolese - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLTT

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