Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Tritium

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.67	3.53	4.27
	1.68	3.53	4.28
	1.8	3	4
	1.65	3.62	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.79)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	4.29 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
52.7%

Draw
26.4%

Tritium
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

27%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Tritium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritium than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Desenzano is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Desenzano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.12.23	Casatese - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Desenzano Calvina - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Villa Valle - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Desenzano Calvina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Varesina - Desenzano Calvina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLTL
- Tritium
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.12.23	Tritium - Caravaggio	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Arconatese - Tritium	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Folgore Caratese - Tritium	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Tritium - Clivense	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Tritium	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
14.04.21	Tritium - Desenzano Calvina	1:1
23.12.20	Desenzano Calvina - Tritium	4:1

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