Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Tuttocuoio

	1	X	2
	1.17	5.3	14.5
	1.16	5.77	16.42	Watch
	1.18	5	17
	1.14	5.85	16
	1.23	4.75	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (2.26)	5.33 ↑ (3.48)	15.38 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
77.1%

Draw
17%

Tuttocuoio
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

24.8%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+37.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Desenzano Calvina's performance.

Tuttocuoio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tuttocuoio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-35.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Desenzano Calvina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuttocuoio than the current prediction. (+26.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuttocuoio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Desenzano Calvina - Tuttocuoio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Desenzano (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Desenzano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Gabbianelli G. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Procaccio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 3 - 0, Catania L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Desenzano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tuttocuoio's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Desenzano is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Desenzano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
11.01.26	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Desenzano Calvina - Piacenza	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Desenzano Calvina - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pistoiese - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Desenzano Calvina - Imolese	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLWW
- ASD Tuttocuoio
Italian Serie D - Group D
11.01.26	Tuttocuoio - Crema	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Tropical Coriano - Tuttocuoio	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Trevigliese - Tuttocuoio	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Tuttocuoio - Pro Sesto	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	SantAngelo - Tuttocuoio	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
20.09.25	Tuttocuoio - Desenzano Calvina	0:3

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