Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 11

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Desportivo Brasil		Itapirense

	1	X	2
	2.08	3	3.4
	2	3.19	3.44
	2.06	3.11	3.5	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	2.06	3.5	3.35
	2.08	3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.09)	3.13 ↑ (3.02)	3.41 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportivo Brasil
44.4%

Draw
29%

Itapirense
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.3%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportivo Brasil than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Desportivo Brasil - Itapirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Facundini T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 0 - 2, Rafinha ⚽,
78', 🟥,
90+4', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 14).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Desportivo Brasil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Desportivo Brasil will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Desportivo Brasil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Desportivo Brasil won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.26	Marília - Desportivo Brasil	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Desportivo Brasil - União São João	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Rio Claro - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Desportivo Brasil - Rio Branco de Americana	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Paulista - Desportivo Brasil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLTL
- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.03.26	Itapirense - União São João	1:1 ✺
26.02.26	Itapirense - Rio Claro	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Portuguesa Santista - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Itapirense - Bandeirante	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	União Suzano - Itapirense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
19.02.25	Itapirense - Desportivo Brasil	2:3
27.01.24	Desportivo Brasil - Itapirense	1:1

Desportivo Brasil - Itapirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide