Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 12

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Rio Preto		XV de Jaú

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.9	3.7
	1.98	2.92	3.75
	1.93	3	3.95
	1.96	3.06	3.92	Watch
	2	2.75	3.8
	1.94	2.97	4.02
	2.33	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.32)	2.94 ↓ (3.01)	3.73 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Preto
44.9%

Draw
30.8%

XV de Jaú
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

30.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Preto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Preto's performance.

XV de Jaú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and XV de Jaú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Preto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that XV de Jaú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Preto - XV de Jaú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Leite A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Preto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, XV de Jaú has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

XV de Jaú may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rio Preto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.26	Francana - Rio Preto	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Bandeirante - Rio Preto	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Rio Preto - Paulista	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Rio Preto - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Rio Claro - Rio Preto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWL
- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.26	XV de Jaú - Catanduva	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	União Suzano - XV de Jaú	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	União Barbarense - XV de Jaú	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	XV de Jaú - Paulista	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Bandeirante - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
23.02.25	XV de Jaú - Rio Preto	0:1

Rio Preto - XV de Jaú: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide