Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA)

Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sacramento Republic		Detroit City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.10	3.60
	1.88	3.15	3.95
	1.93	3.25	4.86
	1.94	3.35	3.91	Watch
	1.91	3	4.8
	1.9	3.37	4.05	Watch
	1.88	3.2	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)	3.2 ↓ (3.29)	4.15 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
48.7%

Draw
29%

Detroit City
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

28.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Sacramento Republic - Detroit City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. (C) 6. Kleemann F. 19. Midence A. 24. Casas J. 27. Crisostomo D. 7. Malango M. 8. Rodriguez M. 26. Jennings C.	1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 33. Silva T. 8. Diop A. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 23. Williams K. 21. Rodriguez M. 32. Diouf A. 9. Morris B.
Substitutes
71. Edwards K. 15. Essel A. 21. Leibold T. 31. Randolph J. (G) 10. Rodriguez A. 3. Spaulding R. 20. Willey B. 16. Wolff T.	12. Bryant M. 10. Cedeno J. 15. Dalou A. 20. Hope-Gund R. 19. Niang C. 91. Saldana C. (G) 6. Williams R.
Coaches
Collins N.	Dichio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Timmer J. ⚽, Gurr J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Morris B. ↓, Niang C. ↑,
63', Diop A. ↓, Cedeno J. ↑,
63', Williams K. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
67', Midence A. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
67', Jennings C. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
76', Malango M. ↓, Wolff T. ↑,
82', Collins N. 🟨,
88', Diouf A. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
90', Casas J. ↓, Essel A. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Sacramento Republic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Detroit City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sacramento Republic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sacramento Republic - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
05.09.26	Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Lexington	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Sacramento Republic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTWT
- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
05.09.26	Detroit City - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Louisville City - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Detroit City - Loudoun United	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Tulsa - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
27.07.24	Detroit City - Sacramento Republic	0:1
22.04.23	Sacramento Republic - Detroit City	1:0
11.06.22	Detroit City - Sacramento Republic	0:2

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