Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Keyworth Stadium (Hamtramck, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	Detroit City		Chicago Fire

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.86	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.92
	3.93	3.45	1.99
	3.16	3.34	2.13	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.1
	3.44	3.65	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.84)	3.42 ↓ (4.72)	2 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit City
27%

Draw
26.9%

Chicago Fire
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

19.3%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

18.9%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chicago Fire might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago Fire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Detroit City - Chicago Fire Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Detroit City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 33. Silva T. 21. Rodriguez M. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 10. Cedeno J. 32. Diouf A. 8. Diop A. 7. Smith D.	1. Brady C. (G) 24. Dean J. 16. Waterman J. 3. Elliott J. 14. Radojevic V. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 29. Poreba D. 11. Zinckernagel P. 20. Shokalook J. 12. Dithejane P.
Substitutes
15. Dalou A. 26. Egbuchulam C. 20. Hope-Gund R. 11. Rutz C. 91. Saldana C. (G) 3. Stanley A. 6. Williams R.	27. Borso D. 44. Cohen J. (G) 42. D'Avilla D. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 17. Lod R. 4. Mbokazi M. 6. Saletros A.
Coaches
Dichio D.	Berhalter G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Pineda M. 🟨,
23', Rodriguez M. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, Shokalook J. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A),
36', 0 - 2, Shokalook J. ⚽, Poreba D. (A),
38', Smith D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
46', Elliott J. ↓, Mbokazi M. ↑,
60', Oregel S. 🟨,
66', Silva T. ↓, Stanley A. ↑,
66', Diouf A. ↓, Egbuchulam C. ↑,
78', Poreba D. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
78', Oregel S. ↓, Saletros A. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Smith D. ⚽,
80', Dithejane P. 🟥,
84', Shokalook J. ↓, Borso D. ↑,
86', 🟨,
86', Waterman J. 🟨,
90+1', Egbuchulam C. 🟨,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Detroit City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chicago is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Detroit City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
11.04.26	Detroit City - Sporting Jacksonville	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Rhode Island - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Flint City Bucks - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Detroit City - Charleston Battery	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWL
- Chicago Fire
MLS
11.04.26	Chicago Fire - Atlanta United	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Chicago Fire - Nashville SC	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Chicago Fire - DC United	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Columbus Crew - Chicago Fire	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
07.05.25	Chicago Fire - Detroit City	4:0

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