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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire 62.3%
Draw 21.8%
Atlanta United 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.5%
22.4%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
21.6%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
Chicago Fire - Atlanta United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 50%). Atlanta (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Chicago Fire will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brady C. (G) 2. Barroso L. 3. Elliott J. (C) 4. Mbokazi M. 15. Gutman A. 6. Saletros A. 42. D'Avilla D. 17. Lod R. 11. Zinckernagel P. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 19. Bamba J.
1. Hoyos L. (G) 55. Jacob T. 5. Gregersen S. 4. Mihaj E. 3. Baez E. 48. Sanchez C. 8. Muyumba T. 88. Galarza M. 11. Lobjanidze S. 9. Latte Lath E. 10. Almiron M. (C)
Substitutes
44. Cohen J. (G) 24. Dean J. 12. Dithejane P. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 29. Poreba D. 14. Radojevic V. 20. Shokalook J. 16. Waterman J.
7. Alzate S. 18. Amador P. 6. Berrocal J. 20. Brennan L. 47. Edwards M. 35. Fortune A. 2. Hernandez R. 42. Hibbert J. (G) 30. Togashi C.
Coaches
Berhalter G.
Martino G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Jacob T. 🟨,
8', Zinckernagel P. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Haile-Selassie M. ⚽, Bamba J. (A), Zinckernagel P. (A2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Barroso L. 🟨,
66', Sanchez C. ↓, Alzate S. ↑,
68', Barroso L. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
68', D'Avilla D. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
78', Baez E. ↓, Amador P. ↑,
78', Latte Lath E. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
78', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
89', Galarza M. ↓, Fortune A. ↑,
89', Bamba J. ↓, Dithejane P. ↑,
89', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.
Chicago is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Atlanta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Atlanta has had a series of home games.
In this match, Chicago is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Chicago: Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Mueller C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Rogers S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Atlanta: Galarza M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Chicago: Waterman J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Atlanta: Sergio Santos
(Illness)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 2:0.8).
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Brady C. (G) 
Barroso L. 
Elliott J. (C) 
Mbokazi M. 
Saletros A. 
D'Avilla D. 
Lod R. 
Zinckernagel P. 
Haile-Selassie M. 
Hoyos L. (G) 
Gregersen S. 
Mihaj E. 
Muyumba T. 
Galarza M. 
Lobjanidze S. 
Poreba D. 
Radojevic V. 
Waterman J. 
Alzate S. 
Berrocal J. 
Fortune A. 
Hernandez R. 
Togashi C. 
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