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Current Win Probability
Detroit City 37.3%
Draw 31.5%
New Mexico United 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
27.1%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
26.3%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Detroit City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Mexico United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Detroit City - New Mexico United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Saldana C. (G) 12. Bryant M. 5. Carroll S. . (C) 30. Amoo-Mensah D. 3. Villanueva A. 8. Diop A. 21. Rodriguez M. 6. Murphy J. 11. Rutz C. 9. Morris B. 70. Kissiedou L.
1. Tambakis A. (C) 26. Mohamed A. 4. Herbert A. 12. Maples T. 15. Astorga A. 91. Houssou N. 19. Bailey Z. 27. Flanagan A. 7. Rivas S. 18. Vargas M. 20. Reyes J.
Substitutes
7. Bezerra V. 23. Cedeno J. 14. Espeleta D. 13. Sheldon M. 1. Steinwascher N. (G) 2. Williams R. 4. Williams R.
11. Akale M. 25. Bruce D. 8. Hernandez D. 10. Micaletto M. 22. Ryden K. 13. Shakes K. (G) 33. Swartz H.
Coaches
Dichio D.
Quill E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Rodriguez M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Flanagan A. ↓, Swartz H. ↑,
61', Kissiedou L. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
69', Rivas S. ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,
69', Vargas M. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
76', Bailey Z. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
76', Reyes J. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
81', Rodriguez M. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
86', Rutz C. ↓, Sheldon M. ↑,
86', Morris B. ↓, Cedeno J. ↑,
89', Shakes K. 🟨,
90+6', Sheldon M. 🟨,
Preview
Recent matches Detroit City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
New Mexico is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
New Mexico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Detroit City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Detroit City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.