Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park (Albuquerque, NM)

Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	New Mexico United		Tulsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.30	2.95
	2.15	3.25	2.90
	2.23	3.57	3.10
	2.14	3.54	3.13	Watch
	2.16	3.55	3.10
	2.21	3.47	3.05	Watch
	2.10	3.40	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.22)	3.44 ↑ (3.36)	3.03 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Mexico United
42.9%

Draw
26.8%

Tulsa
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.6%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

New Mexico United - Tulsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Shakes K. (G) 17. LaCava J. 4. Keller K. 2. Hamalainen N. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 19. Bailey Z. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 21. Noel V. 31. Melto Quiah J. 10. Hurst G. (C)	28. Jacomen D. (G) 98. Ian 91. Cissoko A. (C) 4. Pierre D. 44. Sangwa J. 8. Webber J. 13. Kocevski J. 12. Stauffer L. 17. Sparks B. 14. Dorsey L. 9. Ordonez A.
Substitutes
29. Archimede L. 56. Arozarena R. (G) 24. Blackett T. 5. Harris D. 9. Rennicks J. 28. Wilkerson C. 6. Zelalem G.	7. Cabral R. 25. Clarke A. 20. Colli G. 23. Eisner W. 22. Lukic S. 1. Tambakis A. (G) 66. Wilson W.
Coaches
Sanchez D.	Spencer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Ian ↓, Clarke A. ↑,
60', Ordonez A. ↓, Colli G. ↑,
68', Sanchez D. 🟨,
75', Dorsey L. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
75', Sparks B. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
78', Melto Quiah J. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
81', Clarke A. 🟨,
83', 1 - 0, Hurst G. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Webber J. ↓, Wilson W. ↑,
86', Hurst G. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
86', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Blackett T. ↑,
90+2', Gloster C. ↓, Wilkerson C. ↑,
90+2', Noel V. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 0.

New Mexico has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tulsa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Tulsa has had a series of home games.

New Mexico might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

New Mexico United - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.45%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Tulsa - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.16%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Mexico United
USL Championship
08.08.26	Monterey Bay - New Mexico United	2:5 ✺
01.08.26	New Mexico United - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Lexington - New Mexico United	1:4 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	New Mexico United - Oakland Roots	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WWWWW
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
08.08.26	Tulsa - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
05.08.26	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Tulsa - Lexington	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
15.11.25	Tulsa - New Mexico United	3:0
13.09.25	New Mexico United - Tulsa	0:1
09.08.25	Tulsa - New Mexico United	5:2
12.10.24	Tulsa - New Mexico United	1:1
14.08.24	New Mexico United - Tulsa	3:3
26.08.23	New Mexico United - Tulsa	2:1
13.07.22	Tulsa - New Mexico United	1:2

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