Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Laney College Football Stadium (Oakland, CA)

Referee: Flores G. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Oakland Roots		New Mexico United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.35	2.82
	2.32	3.59	2.96
	2.15	3.48	3.16	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.8
	2.35	3.45	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.84)	3.42 ↑ (3.11)	2.91 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oakland Roots
41%

Draw
27.1%

New Mexico United
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oakland Roots's performance.

New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Oakland Roots - New Mexico United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oakland Roots (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Spiegel R. (G) 20. Fisher M. 5. Garcia D. 34. Edwards M. 23. Bravo J. 12. Gibson T. 6. Byaruhanga B. 4. McCabe T. (C) 7. Prentice W. 9. Wilson P. 77. Bettache F.	13. Shakes K. (G) 19. Bailey Z. 4. Keller K. 16. Seymore W. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 6. Zelalem G. 5. Harris D. 21. Noel V. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 10. Hurst G.
Substitutes
11. de Vicente J. 8. Elmasnaouy A. 15. Hackshaw N. 19. Kiil J. 42. Martinez Sorrosa E. 1. McIntosh K. (G) 44. Roberson B. 59. Rosic L. 99. Trejo D.	29. Archimede L. 56. Arozarena R. (G) 23. Astorga A. 2. Hamalainen N. 17. LaCava J. 11. Nava C. 9. Rennicks J.
Coaches
Martin R.	Sanchez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Prentice W. ⚽, Fisher M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zelalem G. ↓, Astorga A. ↑,
54', Wilson P. 🟨,
57', Keller K. ↓, Hamalainen N. ↑,
61', Prentice W. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
61', Gibson T. ↓, Hackshaw N. ↑,
73', Hamalainen N. 🟨,
76', Jabang O. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
76', Bettache F. ↓, Kiil J. ↑,
76', Hurst G. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Astorga A. (Own goal),
82', 2 - 1, Rennicks J. ⚽, LaCava J. (A),
83', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
90+1', Spiegel R. 🟨,
90+1', McCabe T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 2.

New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oakland Roots is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Oakland Roots won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Oakland Roots - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.4%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

New Mexico United - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
07.03.26	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Oakland Roots - Lexington	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	New Mexico United - Oakland Roots	3:3 ✺
11.10.25	Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots	2:2 ✺
07.10.25	Oakland Roots - Hartford Athletic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTTL
- New Mexico United
USL Championship
15.11.25	Tulsa - New Mexico United	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	New Mexico United - San Antonio	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	New Mexico United - Rhode Island	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	New Mexico United - Oakland Roots	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.10.25	New Mexico United - Oakland Roots	3:3
24.05.25	Oakland Roots - New Mexico United	0:3
31.08.24	Oakland Roots - New Mexico United	1:0
11.05.24	New Mexico United - Oakland Roots	2:1
23.08.23	New Mexico United - Oakland Roots	1:2
01.04.23	Oakland Roots - New Mexico United	1:0
15.06.22	Oakland Roots - New Mexico United	1:2

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