The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Mexico United 57.1%
Draw 22%
Monterey Bay 20.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.9%
21.8%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
21.1%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
New Mexico United - Monterey Bay Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New Mexico (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Shakes K. (G) 19. Bailey Z. 24. Blackett T. 14. Dennis C. 3. Gloster C. 2. Hamalainen N. 10. Hurst G. (C) 15. Jabang O. 4. Keller K. 21. Noel V. 7. Reid-Stephen N.
98. Jackson J. (G) 15. Barajas F. 25. Egwu K. 47. Elliot Q. 32. Farnsworth Z. 22. Garcia J. 11. Leggett W. 88. Lletget S. 20. Paul I. 3. Ritchie S. 4. Ross N.
Substitutes
29. Archimede L. 17. LaCava J. . Melto 11. Nava C. 33. Pannenberg A. (G) 9. Rennicks J. 48. Wilkerson C.
23. Blancas E. 10. Canete F. 1. Delgado F. (G) 5. Gordon N. 16. Jacob Montes 14. Nakamura R. 21. Otoya D.
Coaches
Sanchez D.
Covelo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Dennis C. ⚽, Bailey Z. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Dennis C. ⚽, Reid-Stephen N. (A),
31', Sanchez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Elliot Q. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Hurst G. ⚽, Reid-Stephen N. (A),
58', 3 - 1, Lletget S. ⚽, Paul I. (A),
59', Farnsworth Z. 🟨,
61', Ritchie S. 🟨,
61', Noel V. ↓, Wilkerson C. ↑,
63', Ross N. ↓, Jacob Montes ↑,
70', Dennis C. ↓, Melto Quiah J. ↑,
70', Hurst G. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
75', Barajas F. ↓, Canete F. ↑,
75', Paul I. ↓, Otoya D. ↑,
80', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Nava C. ↑,
80', Gloster C. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
83', Garcia J. ↓, Blancas E. ↑,
90+1', Nakamura R. 🟨,
Preview
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Monterey Bay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to New Mexico for this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, New Mexico has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:12 (averaging 1.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for New Mexico against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).
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Shakes K. (G) 
Bailey Z. 
Blackett T. 
Hamalainen N. 
Hurst G. (C) 
Noel V. 
Reid-Stephen N. 
Barajas F. 
Egwu K. 
Archimede L. 
Melto 
Gordon N. 
Jacob Montes 
Nakamura R. 
Otoya D. 
Covelo A. 
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