Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Keyworth Stadium (Hamtramck, MI)

Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)


	Detroit City		Orange County SC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.92	3.3	3.75
	1.99	3.49	4.04
	1.95	3.45	3.73	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.33
	1.94	3.56	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.76)	3.41 ↓ (3.53)	3.9 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit City
49.1%

Draw
27.1%

Orange County SC
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.1%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Detroit City - Orange County SC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Saldana C. (C) 5. Carroll S. . 12. Bryant M. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. 3. Villanueva A. 14. Yamazaki H. 39. Williams R. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 32. Diouf A. 7. Smith D. 10. Cedeno J.	1. Shutler C. (G) 4. Benalcazar N. 33. Miles A. 20. Latinovich V. 32. Ciotta N. 28. Karam G. 8. Sylla O. 27. Kelly S. 14. Hegardt C. 21. War M. 9. Zubak E. (C)
Substitutes
99. Adebayo-Smith J. 6. Chapman J. 8. Diop A. 21. Herrera C. (G) 33. LeFlore I. 66. Obeid B. 13. Sheldon M. 4. Wiedt S.	23. Doghman R. 7. Dunbar C. 31. Kadono T. (G) 26. Kone C. 18. Molina R. 6. Pinto M. 25. Solis E. 10. Trager T.
Coaches
Dichio D.	Stone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Smith D. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Zubak E. (Pen),
22', Yamazaki H. 🟨,
27', Smith D. 🟨,
31', 2 - 1, Diouf A. ⚽, Smith D. (A),
36', Latinovich V. 🟨,
40', 3 - 1, Cedeno J. ⚽, Yamazaki H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yamazaki H. ↓, LeFlore I. ↑,
46', Sylla O. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
46', Karam G. ↓, Molina R. ↑,
46', Shutler C. ↓, Kadono T. ↑,
56', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
60', Ciotta N. 🟨,
62', Ciotta N. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
62', Cedeno J. ↓, Diop A. ↑,
62', Diouf A. ↓, Adebayo-Smith J. ↑,
72', LeFlore I. 🟨,
86', Hegardt C. 🟨,
88', 4 - 1, Villanueva A. ⚽, Adebayo-Smith J. (A),
90', Smith D. ↓, Obeid B. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Detroit City is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Detroit City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
30.08.25	Detroit City - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	North Carolina - Detroit City	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
06.08.25	Rhode Island - Detroit City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTWL
- Orange County SC
USL Championship
30.08.25	Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion	4:4 ✺
23.08.25	Tulsa - Orange County SC	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
30.07.25	Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
01.06.24	Orange County SC - Detroit City	3:2
24.06.23	Detroit City - Orange County SC	0:1

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