Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: May C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Orange County SC		Birmingham Legion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.5	3.9
	1.72	3.7	4.15
	1.74	3.88	4.51
	2.64	3.78	2.34	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.73	3.77	4.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.87)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	3.82 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
49.6%

Draw
25.8%

Birmingham Legion
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion Predictions

Users Predictions: Orange County SC will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Orange County SC will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shutler C. (G) 32. Ciotta N. 33. Miles A. (C) 20. Latinovich V. 23. Doghman R. 4. Benalcazar N. 8. Sylla O. 14. Hegardt C. 13. Guimaraes P. 11. Jamison B. 9. Zubak E.	57. Delgado F. (G) 3. Kavita P. (C) 14. Shashoua S. 9. Damus R. 6. McIllhatton S. 4. Hamouda R. 19. Martinez E. 21. Tregarthen S. 49. Travis J. 43. Suarez S. 26. Daley A.
Substitutes
7. Dunbar C. 15. Espy T. 31. Kadono T. (G) 28. Karam G. 26. Kone C. 18. Molina R. 25. Solis E. 10. Trager T. 21. War M.	27. Centeno E. 5. Kos E. 17. Laszo E. 12. McMullen T. (G) 20. Paterson AJ 10. Preston T. 13. Rufe J.
Coaches
Stone D.	Briggs M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Daley A. ⚽, Tregarthen S. (A),
16', Martinez E. 🟨,
21', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Miles A. ⚽, Guimaraes P. (A),
28', 1 - 2, Damus R. ⚽, Martinez E. (A),
43', 2 - 2, Zubak E. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', McIllhatton S. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
46', Hamouda R. ↓, Paterson AJ ↑,
48', Ciotta N. 🟨,
52', 2 - 3, Latinovich V. (Own goal),
54', 3 - 3, Guimaraes P. ⚽, Doghman R. (A),
56', Jamison B. 🟨,
57', Suarez S. 🟨,
62', 3 - 4, Tregarthen S. ⚽, Martinez E. (A),
66', 4 - 4, Hegardt C. ⚽,
71', Jamison B. ↓, Molina R. ↑,
71', Sylla O. ↓, Karam G. ↑,
74', Molina R. 🟨,
84', Laszo E. 🟨,
86', Martinez E. ↓, Rufe J. ↑,
86', Tregarthen S. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
89', Zubak E. ↓, War M. ↑,
90', Daley A. ↓, Centeno E. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Orange County SC is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Birmingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.

Orange County SC might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
USL Championship
23.08.25	Tulsa - Orange County SC	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
30.07.25	Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising	4:1 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWTWW
- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
23.08.25	Birmingham Legion - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
20.08.25	Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
09.08.25	Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic	1:4 ✺
02.08.25	Phoenix Rising - Birmingham Legion	3:3 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Birmingham Legion - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
27.07.24	Birmingham Legion - Orange County SC	3:0
22.04.23	Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion	1:2

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