Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Keyworth Stadium (Hamtramck, MI)

Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Detroit City		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.20	4.00
	1.76	3.45	3.90
	1.86	3.54	4.48
	1.75	3.72	4.36	Watch
	1.75	3.70	4.40
	1.77	3.35	4.23	Watch
	1.81	3.35	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.88)	3.47 ↑ (3.35)	4.2 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit City
51.6%

Draw
26.5%

Indy Eleven
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.7%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.6%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Detroit City - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 3. Stanley A. 17. Rafa Mentzingen 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 21. Rodriguez M. 32. Diouf A. 8. Diop A. 7. Smith D.	1. Dick E. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 21. Rasheed M. 37. Craig P. 14. Quinn A. (C) 6. Lindley C. 27. Rendon B. 5. O'Brien J. 8. Blake J. 90. Mesanvi L. 18. Okello N.
Substitutes
15. Dalou A. 18. Etaka P. 20. Hope-Gund R. 9. Morris B. 91. Saldana C. (G) 33. Silva T. 6. Williams R.	23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 4. Herbert A. 36. Kibunguchy N. 29. Mitrano A. 22. Omar M. 9. Sharp C. 10. Williams K.
Coaches
Dichio D.	McAuley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
35', Yamazaki H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Rafa Mentzingen ⚽, Stanley A. (A),
52', 2 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Rafa Mentzingen (A),
55', Diouf A. 🟨,
57', Blake J. ↓, Omar M. ↑,
57', Mesanvi L. ↓, Mitrano A. ↑,
74', Diouf A. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
74', Rodriguez M. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
74', Okello N. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
74', Craig P. ↓, Herbert A. ↑,
81', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Etaka P. ↑,
82', Hernandez-Foster K. ↓, Hope-Gund R. ↑,
83', Rasheed M. 🟨,
87', Rendon B. 🟨,
89', Lindley C. 🟨,
90+3', Mitrano A. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 1.

Detroit City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Indy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Indy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Detroit City is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Detroit City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit City FC
USL Cup
11.07.26	Fort Wayne - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
02.07.26	Birmingham Legion - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
20.06.26	Detroit City - Louisville City	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Detroit City	2:6 ✺
10.06.26	Detroit City - El Paso Locomotive	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWT
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
15.07.26	Miami - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
20.06.26	Lexington - Indy Eleven	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.06.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Indy Eleven - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
21.03.26	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	2:1
09.08.25	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	1:0
03.05.25	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	2:2
12.10.24	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	0:0
US Open Cup
22.05.24	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	3:0
USL Championship
30.03.24	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	1:2
30.09.23	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	3:0

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