Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Pittsburgh, PA)

Referee: Verso M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsNet Pittsburgh
Venezuela	Disney+


	Pittsburgh Riverhounds		Orange County SC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.25	4.33
	1.75	3.2	4.65
	1.83	3.26	5.25
	1.85	3.14	4.72	Watch
	1.81	3.31	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.93)	3.23 ↓ (3.28)	4.72 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
51.7%

Draw
28.7%

Orange County SC
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.3%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Orange County SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pittsburgh Riverhounds will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 16. Ydrach R. 5. Suber S. 23. Vacter G. 3. Barnes P. 2. Griffin D. 42. Walti J. 13. Biasi L. 10. Jacquesson B. 14. Mertz R. 9. Williams A.	1. Shutler C. (G) 32. Ciotta N. 5. Brewitt T. 4. Benalcazar N. 23. Doghman R. 19. Partida K. 8. Sylla O. 27. Kelly S. 14. Hegardt C. 21. War M. 9. Zubak E.
Substitutes
12. Ahl C. 20. Bouregy J. 6. Broughton M. 8. Etou B. 17. Larsen B. 31. Randolph J. (G) 15. Sample B.	7. Dunbar C. 13. Guimaraes P. 11. Jamison B. 31. Kadono T. (G) 28. Karam G. 20. Latinovich V. 33. Miles A. 3. Santos K. 10. Trager T.
Coaches
Lilley B.	Stone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Ydrach R. 🟨,
28', Jacquesson B. 🟨,
33', Williams A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Zubak E. ⚽, Kelly S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Williams A. ↓, Ahl C. ↑,
60', Hegardt C. 🟨,
65', Ciotta N. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
65', War M. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Suber S. ⚽,
74', Sylla O. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
76', Walti J. ↓, Sample B. ↑,
76', Biasi L. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
76', Jacquesson B. ↓, Larsen B. ↑,
78', Partida K. 🟨,
85', Partida K. ↓, Latinovich V. ↑,
85', Hegardt C. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
89', Mertz R. ↓, Bouregy J. ↑,
90', Sample B. 🟨,
90+1', Shutler C. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Pittsburgh have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Orange County SC is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pittsburgh is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
02.08.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Miami	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.07.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3:2 penalties ✺
USL Championship
18.07.25	Detroit City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLTT
- Orange County SC
USL Championship
30.07.25	Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising	4:1 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
19.07.25	Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights	4:0 ✺
11.07.25	Monterey Bay - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Loudoun United - Orange County SC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
16.03.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Orange County SC	0:2
16.08.23	Orange County SC - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0
24.09.22	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Orange County SC	1:1

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