Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	North Carolina		Detroit City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.2	3.1
	2.08	3.2	3.35
	2.16	3.3	3.66
	2.21	3.14	3.35	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.08	3.25	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	3.27 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina
42.9%

Draw
28.9%

Detroit City
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.8%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

North Carolina - Detroit City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGuire J. (G) 11. Burner P. 66. Sundstrom F. 27. Washington B. 55. Hodge T. 10. Servania J. 8. Pedro Becker 44. Sommersall R. 15. Maldonado M. 13. Perez L. (C) 7. Conway E.	91. Saldana C. (G) 4. Wiedt S. 12. Bryant M. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 13. Sheldon M. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 8. Diop A. 3. Villanueva A. 6. Chapman J. 7. Smith D. 32. Diouf A.
Substitutes
19. Al Qaq A. 5. Craig P. 16. Da Costa R. 20. Donovan C. 25. Fitzgerald A. (G) 4. Malou J. 24. Mulqueen T. (G) 71. Quintanilla J. 6. Roberts T.	99. Adebayo-Smith J. 10. Cedeno J. 24. Gasso D. 23. Guenzatti S. 21. Herrera C. (G) 39. Williams R. 14. Yamazaki H.
Coaches
Bradford J.	Dichio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Pedro Becker ⚽, Conway E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wiedt S. ↓, Yamazaki H. ↑,
46', Chapman J. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
62', Diop A. ↓, Cedeno J. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Smith D. ⚽, Hernandez-Foster K. (A),
67', Pedro Becker 🟨,
68', Diouf A. ↓, Adebayo-Smith J. ↑,
80', Perez L. 🟨,
80', Pedro Becker ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
85', Perez L. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
87', Villanueva A. ↓, Guenzatti S. ↑,
89', Sundstrom F. ↓, Craig P. ↑,
90+3', Cedeno J. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

North Carolina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
09.08.25	North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Louisville City - North Carolina	4:1 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	North Carolina - Loudoun United	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
18.07.25	North Carolina - Indy Eleven	4:2 ✺
11.07.25	North Carolina - Birmingham Legion	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL
- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
09.08.25	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
06.08.25	Rhode Island - Detroit City	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Detroit City - Westchester SC	3:0 ✺
USL Championship
18.07.25	Detroit City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Detroit City - Hartford Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.07.24	North Carolina - Detroit City	1:1
06.04.24	Detroit City - North Carolina	1:0

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