Match Info

Super League - Round 17

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Gelora Bumi Kartini Stadium (Jepara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Persijap Jepara		Dewa United

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.45	1.82
	3.91	3.83	1.81	Watch
	3.75	3.2	1.85
	3.89	3.58	1.88	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (4)	3.53 ↓ (3.84)	1.83 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persijap Jepara
24.1%

Draw
25.9%

Dewa United
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

24.2%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

23.7%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persijap Jepara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Dewa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persijap Jepara than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Persijap Jepara - Dewa United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Persijap will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Dewa United will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Persijap (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Johansah S. (G) 11. Sudi A. 6. Sakyi E. 26. Brito D. 17. Ramadhan F. 14. Hidayat R. 71. Fadlillah A. 32. Gomez A. 77. Hidayat R. 21. Saepul R. 10. Rosalvo (C)	92. Stevens S. (G) 5. Lilipaly S. 6. Numberi T. 16. Rizky K. 11. Marukawa T. 97. Febriansyah E. 14. Fatari B. 2. Kuipers N. 3. Prasetyo W. 28. Messidoro A. (C) 39. Alex
Substitutes
4. Afriyanto F. 23. Akbar R. 37. Alamsah Z. 19. Ardiana A. 66. Dicky Kurniawan 33. Hamisi W. 7. Indra Arya 70. Kallon P. 27. Marcelino F. 99. Sanggasi S. (G) 73. Setiadi S. 8. Yan H.	20. Bagaskara S. 37. Ballah A. 41. Cassio Scheid 1. Natshir M. (G) 12. Nurviat R. 15. Rangga M. 23. Setiawan A. 10. Vikri E.
Coaches
Alves D.	Riekerink J. O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Messidoro A. ⚽, Rizky K. (A),
38', Rizky K. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Alex ⚽, Messidoro A. (A),
45+2', Febriansyah E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fadlillah A. ↓, Afriyanto F. ↑,
46', Hidayat R. ↓, Hamisi W. ↑,
46', Rizky K. ↓, Vikri E. ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Lilipaly S. ⚽, Alex (A),
55', Febriansyah E. ↓, Ballah A. ↑,
61', Saepul R. ↓, Indra Arya ↑,
61', Rosalvo ↓, Kallon P. ↑,
83', Alex ↓, Bagaskara S. ↑,
84', Brito D. 🟨,
88', Messidoro A. ↓, Rangga M. ↑,
89', Ballah A. 🟨,
90', Sakyi E. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Persijap Jepara is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dewa United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dewa United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dewa United is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dewa United	4	3	1	0	8:4	4	10
16	Persijap Jepara	4	0	0	4	2:11	-9	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persijap Jepara
Indonesian Super League
03.01.26	Persija Jakarta - Persijap Jepara	2:0 ✺
28.12.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Persijap Jepara	4:0 ✺
23.12.25	Persijap Jepara - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:1 ✺
27.11.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persijap Jepara	3:2 ✺
20.11.25	Persijap Jepara - Semen Padang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Dewa United
Indonesian Super League
05.01.26	Bhayangkara - Dewa United	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	Bali United Pusam - Dewa United	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Dewa United - Persis Solo	5:1 ✺
29.11.25	Dewa United - Persita Tangerang	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Persib Bandung - Dewa United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWWL

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