Match Info
I Liqa - Round 11Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday
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Difai Ağsu |
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Mingachevir |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
5.35 |
3.9 |
1.5 |
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 |
5.55 |
3.98 |
1.48 |
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 |
5.77 |
4.47 |
1.44 |
Watch |
 |
5.75 |
3.6 |
1.5 |
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 |
6.03 |
3.92 |
1.47 |
Watch |
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5 |
4 |
1.47 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.58 ↑
(4.8) |
3.98 ↑
(3.8) |
1.48 ↓
(1.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Difai Ağsu
16.2% | Draw
22.7% | Mingachevir
61.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Difai Ağsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mingachevir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Difai will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mingachevir will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Difai (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mingachevir (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Mingachevir (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Difai (votes: 1 - 25%). Mingachevir (votes: 3 - 75%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Musazada M. ⚽,
- 8', 1 - 1, Abdullayev S. ⚽,
- 31', Musazada M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone I Liqa (Relegation) and 4).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Difai won 1.Difai is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Mingachevir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Difai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Mingachevir is the team to beat.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Difai won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Difai won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Azerbaijan First Division | | | 24.09.25 | Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu | 2:0 | | 01.05.25 | Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir | 1:4 | | 28.02.25 | Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu | 1:0 | | 28.11.24 | Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir | 3:3 | | 01.05.24 | Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir | 4:1 | | 29.02.24 | Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu | 1:1 | | 09.11.23 | Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
