Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Bandic A. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV


	Levadia Tallinn		Differdange 03

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.78	3.55	4.15	Watch
	1.87	3.41	4.1
	2.13	3.16	3.52	Watch
	1.84	3.78	4.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.88)	3.45 ↓ (3.58)	4.03 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia Tallinn
49.8%

Draw
27%

Differdange 03
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

24.5%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Differdange 03 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Levadia Tallinn - Differdange 03 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Differdange 03 (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Levadia Tallinn will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Levadia Tallinn will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadia (votes: 8 - 80%). Differdange 03 (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Vallner K. (G) 7. Tur E. 35. Iboro V. 6. Peetson R. (C) 2. Schjonning-Larsen M. 11. Ainsalu M. 15. Mavretic T. 28. Torres C. 36. Joao Pedro 19. Musaba R. 5. Roosnupp M.	84. Felipe (G) 4. D'Anzico K. 5. Brusco T. 14. Bedouret J. 25. Franzoni G. (C) 58. Camara R. 55. Leandro Borges 32. Lempereur D. 20. Pinto R. 23. Hadji S. 7. Mfoumou B.
Substitutes
14. Agyiri E. 1. Ani O. (G) 25. Kallaste K. 71. Kaua Davi 17. Kirss R. 23. Liivak F. 41. Skvortsov M. 9. Tambedou B. 4. Tammik T. 77. Wendell 24. Zakarlyuka A.	10. Abreu A. 9. Buch A. 1. Da Costa E. (G) 34. El Idrissi A. 66. Gomes Ricciulli J. P. 39. Jakobi L. 88. Mendes Alves P. 26. Mendes F. 28. Pacheco E. 21. Rauch L. 17. Soares Delgado M. 22. Van Buggenhout A. (G)
Coaches
Torres C.	Spitoni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Mavretic T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Camara R. ↓, Jakobi L. ↑,
59', Bedouret J. 🟨,
65', Joao Pedro ↓, Agyiri E. ↑,
72', Bedouret J. ↓, Abreu A. ↑,
72', Pinto R. ↓, Rauch L. ↑,
74', Ainsalu M. ↓, Tammik T. ↑,
74', Roosnupp M. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
81', Franzoni G. ↓, El Idrissi A. ↑,
81', Mfoumou B. ↓, Buch A. ↑,
84', Musaba R. ↓, Tambedou B. ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Buch A. ⚽, Hadji S. (A),
90', Spitoni M. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 2)
92', 1 - 1, Tambedou B. ⚽,
98', Tur E. ↓, Kaua Davi ↑,
103', Iboro V. 🟨,
105+1', 1 - 2, Buch A. ⚽, Lempereur D. (A),
107', Iboro V. 🟨,
109', Torres C. 🟨,
112', El Idrissi A. 🟨,
114', Torres C. 🟨,
119', 1 - 3, Hadji S. (Pen),
120+2', Brusco T. ↓, Gomes Ricciulli J. P. ↑,
120+3', 🟨,
120+3', 🟥,
120+5', Felipe 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-2. 2nd leg.

Levadia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Differdange 03 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Differdange 03 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Levadia is a strong favorite.

We predict that Levadia will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Levadia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia Tallinn
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Differdange 03 - Levadia Tallinn	2:3 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
01.08.25	Levadia Tallinn - Kuressaare	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Levadia Tallinn	2:2 ET ✺
23.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - Iberia 1999	1:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
19.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWWWW
- Differdange 03
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Differdange 03 - Levadia Tallinn	2:3 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
03.08.25	Differdange 03 - Atert Bissen	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.25	Differdange 03 - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
23.07.25	The New Saints - Differdange 03	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Differdange 03 - Drita Gjilan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Differdange 03 - Levadia Tallinn	2:3

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