Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange (Differdange)

Referee: Dudic A. (Sui)


	Differdange 03		Levadia Tallinn

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.7
	2.22	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.22	3.19	2.98
	1.84	3.23	4.61	Watch
	2.41	3.33	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.88)	3.24 ↓ (3.49)	3.23 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Differdange 03
42.2%

Draw
28.9%

Levadia Tallinn
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.9%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

26.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Differdange 03 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Differdange 03's form might have worsened.

Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levadia Tallinn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Differdange 03, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levadia Tallinn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	26.3%	5.3%

Differdange 03 - Levadia Tallinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Differdange 03 will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Levadia will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Differdange 03: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Differdange 03 will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Felipe (G) 4. D'Anzico K. 5. Brusco T. 14. Bedouret J. 25. Franzoni G. (C) 20. Pinto R. 55. Leandro Borges 7. Mfoumou B. 32. Lempereur D. 23. Hadji S. 10. Abreu A.	99. Vallner K. (G) 7. Tur E. 35. Iboro V. 6. Peetson R. (C) 2. Schjonning-Larsen M. 28. Torres C. 11. Ainsalu M. 15. Mavretic T. 36. Joao Pedro 19. Musaba R. 5. Roosnupp M.
Substitutes
9. Buch A. 58. Camara R. 1. Da Costa E. (G) 34. El Idrissi A. 66. Gomes Ricciulli J. P. 39. Jakobi L. 88. Mendes Alves P. 26. Mendes F. 45. Ribeiro R. 17. Soares Delgado M. 22. Van Buggenhout A. (G)	14. Agyiri E. 18. Alexandre 1. Ani O. (G) 25. Kallaste K. 71. Kaua Davi 17. Kirss R. 23. Liivak F. 41. Skvortsov M. 9. Tambedou B. 4. Tammik T. 77. Wendell 24. Zakarlyuka A.
Coaches
Spitoni M.	Soto Navarro J. V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Musaba R. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Hadji S. ⚽,
20', 1 - 2, Ainsalu M. ⚽,
23', D'Anzico K. 🟨,
44', Mavretic T. ↓, Alexandre ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 3, Musaba R. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
56', Pinto R. 🟨,
60', 2 - 3, Hadji S. ⚽, Mfoumou B. (A),
60', Abreu A. ↓, Jakobi L. ↑,
71', Alexandre ↓, Tambedou B. ↑,
71', Schjonning-Larsen M. ↓, Tammik T. ↑,
82', Pinto R. ↓, El Idrissi A. ↑,
88', Hadji S. ↓, Buch A. ↑,
88', Franzoni G. ↓, Camara R. ↑,
90', Iboro V. 🟨,
90', Joao Pedro ↓, Zakarlyuka A. ↑,
90', Roosnupp M. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
90+4', Zakarlyuka A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent performances by Differdange 03 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Levadia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Differdange 03
Luxembourg National Division
03.08.25	Differdange 03 - Atert Bissen	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.25	Differdange 03 - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
23.07.25	The New Saints - Differdange 03	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Differdange 03 - Drita Gjilan	2:3 ✺
08.07.25	Drita Gjilan - Differdange 03	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLL
- Levadia Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
01.08.25	Levadia Tallinn - Kuressaare	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Levadia Tallinn	2:2 ET ✺
23.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - Iberia 1999	1:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
19.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	RFS - Levadia Tallinn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWL

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