Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 35

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Referee: Abed K. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Dijon		Amiens

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	4.33	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	1.9	3.25	4	Watch
	1.93	3.36	4.58
	1.88	3.2	4.2
	1.91	3.28	4.4	Watch
	1.91	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.47)	3.25 ↑ (3.13)	4.09 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
48.1%

Draw
28.9%

Amiens
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dijon's performance.

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amiens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dijon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amiens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	8.3%	12.5%

Dijon - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dijon: 63% – 95.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 12).

Dijon has the most likely position - 18 (24.79%), project points - 40, currently - 35, a good chance of relegated (61%), not chance of promoted.

Amiens has the most likely position - 12 (34.79%), project points - 49, currently - 44, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 29, importance 41, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dijon won 1.

Dijon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Amiens is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dijon is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Dijon won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
06.05.23	Annecy - Dijon	1:1 ✺
01.05.23	Sochaux - Dijon	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Dijon - Bastia	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Quevilly - Dijon	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Dijon - Rodez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTTW
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
06.05.23	Amiens - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Bastia - Amiens	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Amiens - Valenciennes	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Guingamp - Amiens	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Amiens - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.10.22	Amiens - Dijon	2:1
19.03.22	Amiens - Dijon	1:1
16.10.21	Dijon - Amiens	1:0
French Ligue 1
14.12.19	Amiens - Dijon	1:1
12.04.19	Dijon - Amiens	0:0
06.10.18	Amiens - Dijon	1:0
10.03.18	Dijon - Amiens	1:1

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