Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Dijon		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.5
	2.33	2.9	3.35
	2.24	2.85	3.4
	2.36	2.94	3.7
	2.25	2.88	3.5
	2.28	3.05	3.44	Watch
	2.28	2.95	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.48)	2.93 ↓ (3)	3.48 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
41%

Draw
32%

Grenoble
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

31%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

31.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Dijon - Grenoble Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Grenoble will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dijon: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 7).

Dijon has the most likely position - 18 (16.03%), has project points - 39, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Grenoble has the most likely position - 6 (13.46%), has project points - 56, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 31, importance 32, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Dijon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Grenoble is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grenoble could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dijon will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dijon won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
25.02.23	Valenciennes - Dijon	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Dijon - Metz	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Saint-Étienne - Dijon	2:0 ✺
03.02.23	Dijon - Niort	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Laval - Dijon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL
- Grenoble Foot 38
Coupe De France
28.02.23	Lyon - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
25.02.23	Grenoble - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Caen - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Grenoble - Pau	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
08.02.23	Vierzon - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
12.11.22	Grenoble - Dijon	0:0
02.04.22	Dijon - Grenoble	1:0
23.10.21	Grenoble - Dijon	1:2
Club Friendly
06.07.21	Dijon - Grenoble	1:1

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