Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Grenoble		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.88	2.25	Watch
	3.5	2.75	2.25
	3.65	2.75	2.28
	3.84	2.86	2.36
	3.6	2.8	2.25
	3.6	3.04	2.22	Watch
	3.55	2.9	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.35)	2.85 ↑ (2.8)	2.27 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grenoble
25.9%

Draw
32.8%

Le Havre
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

33.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

34.6%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	25%	56.2%

Grenoble - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Le Havre will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Grenoble has the most likely position - 6 (12.63%), has project points - 56, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (79.22%), has project points - 75, has currently - 51, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (94%), has a good chance of win league (79%).

This event has quality 38, importance 47, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grenoble won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Le Havre will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Grenoble won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Grenoble won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
18.02.23	Caen - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Grenoble - Pau	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
08.02.23	Vierzon - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Nîmes - Grenoble	0:2 ✺
31.01.23	Grenoble - Quevilly	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTWWW
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
18.02.23	Le Havre - Niort	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Sochaux - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
03.02.23	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
31.01.23	Bordeaux - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Amiens - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.07.22	Le Havre - Grenoble	0:0
22.04.22	Le Havre - Grenoble	0:1
03.12.21	Grenoble - Le Havre	1:2
02.03.21	Le Havre - Grenoble	0:2
07.11.20	Grenoble - Le Havre	2:1
03.02.20	Grenoble - Le Havre	1:1
23.08.19	Le Havre - Grenoble	3:1

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