Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Dijon		Metz

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.20	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.50	2.40
	2.62	3.35	2.42
	2.64	3.60	2.59
	2.6	3.55	2.47	Watch
	2.55	3.40	2.50
	2.56	3.54	2.49	Watch
	2.60	3.35	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 (2.6)	3.44 ↓ (3.55)	2.47 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
35.6%

Draw
26.9%

Metz
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

26.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Dijon - Metz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 5th in the Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Dijon has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:24 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dijon against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:14 goals (averaging 0.9:1.6 per game).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Metz: 6.02% Dijon: 1.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10:7	3	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10:10	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Dijon - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Annecy - Dijon	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Dijon - Laval	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Boulogne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Dijon - Saint-Étienne	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Clermont - Dijon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLT
- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
19.09.26	Metz - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Red Star - Metz	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Metz - Rodez	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Annecy - Metz	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Metz - Laval	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.02.23	Dijon - Metz	0:0
27.08.22	Metz - Dijon	1:2
French Ligue 1
02.05.21	Dijon - Metz	1:5
08.11.20	Metz - Dijon	1:1
26.04.20	Metz - Dijon	Canceled
21.12.19	Dijon - Metz	2:2
13.01.18	Dijon - Metz	1:1

Dijon - Metz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide