Match Info

Date: 3 February 2021, Wednesday


	Dijon		Lyon

	1	X	2
	10	5.5	1.28	Watch
	9.5	5.75	1.3
	9	5.75	1.3	Watch
	9	5.8	1.29
	9.56	6.17	1.31
	10	5.5	1.29	Watch
	9.6	6.05	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.52 ↑ (8.67)	5.79 ↑ (4.96)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
10%

Draw
16.5%

Lyon
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

19.1%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.7%

17.1%

78.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.2%	3.9%	86.8%

Dijon - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (132 of 152 users predict this - 86.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.47% – 92.21%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Group Stage)).

Dijon has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lyon has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (81%), has a chance of win league (24%).

Dijon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lyon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dijon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lyon is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Dijon won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 1
31.01.21	Lille - Dijon	1:0 ✺
27.01.21	Lorient - Dijon	3:2 ✺
24.01.21	Dijon - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
09.01.21	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	0:0 ✺
06.01.21	Reims - Dijon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLTTT
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
29.01.21	Lyon - Bordeaux	2:1 ✺
24.01.21	Saint-Étienne - Lyon	0:5 ✺
17.01.21	Lyon - Metz	0:1 ✺
09.01.21	Rennes - Lyon	2:2 ✺
06.01.21	Lyon - Lens	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
28.08.20	Lyon - Dijon	4:1
02.05.20	Dijon - Lyon	Canceled
19.10.19	Lyon - Dijon	0:0
06.04.19	Lyon - Dijon	1:3
26.09.18	Dijon - Lyon	0:3
20.04.18	Dijon - Lyon	2:5
23.09.17	Lyon - Dijon	3:3

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