Match Info

Date: 27 January 2021, Wednesday


	Lorient		Dijon

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.3
	2.3	3.3	3.15	Watch
	2.17	3.3	3.35
	2.25	3.47	3.46
	2.2	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.52	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.37)	3.37 ↑ (3.23)	3.33 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
43%

Draw
28.3%

Dijon
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

20.7%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dijon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.3%	12.5%	48.2%

Lorient - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 22 - 39.3%). Dijon will win (votes: 27 - 48.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dijon: 35.1% – 61.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators. Postponed due to safety reasons.

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2 and 19 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2).

Lorient has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Dijon has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lorient has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dijon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
09.01.21	Bordeaux - Lorient	2:1 ✺
06.01.21	Lorient - Monaco	2:5 ✺
23.12.20	Nice - Lorient	2:2 ✺
20.12.20	Lorient - Rennes	0:3 ✺
16.12.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 1
24.01.21	Dijon - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
09.01.21	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	0:0 ✺
06.01.21	Reims - Dijon	0:0 ✺
23.12.20	Nîmes - Dijon	1:3 ✺
20.12.20	Dijon - Monaco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
01.11.20	Dijon - Lorient	0:0
28.01.17	Lorient - Dijon	2:3
22.10.16	Dijon - Lorient	1:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
15.12.15	Lorient - Dijon	3:0
French Ligue 1
07.05.12	Lorient - Dijon	0:0

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