Match Info

Date: 31 January 2021, Sunday


	Lille		Dijon

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9	Watch
	1.36	4.75	9.5
	1.35	4.9	9.5	Watch
	1.35	4.8	9
	1.36	5.13	10.47
	1.33	4.75	10	Watch
	1.35	4.95	10.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)	4.9 ↑ (4.75)	9.71 ↑ (9.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
70.7%

Draw
19.5%

Dijon
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

20.1%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.7%

17.6%

8.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	12.9%	10.3%

Lille - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 116 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 89 - 76.7%). Dijon will win (votes: 12 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 69% – 84.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Qualification) and 18 in the zone Ligue 1 (Relegation)).

Lille has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (75%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Dijon has a good chance of relegated (61%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lille is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dijon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lille to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Lille won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
24.01.21	Rennes - Lille	0:1 ✺
17.01.21	Lille - Reims	2:1 ✺
09.01.21	Nîmes - Lille	0:1 ✺
06.01.21	Lille - Angers	1:2 ✺
23.12.20	Montpellier - Lille	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 1
27.01.21	Lorient - Dijon	3:2 ✺
24.01.21	Dijon - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
09.01.21	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	0:0 ✺
06.01.21	Reims - Dijon	0:0 ✺
23.12.20	Nîmes - Dijon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
16.12.20	Dijon - Lille	0:2
12.01.20	Dijon - Lille	1:0
30.11.19	Lille - Dijon	1:0
03.03.19	Lille - Dijon	1:0
20.10.18	Dijon - Lille	1:2
12.05.18	Lille - Dijon	2:1
16.12.17	Dijon - Lille	3:0

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