Match Info

Date: 9 January 2021, Saturday


	Dijon		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.72	Watch
	4.75	3.7	1.75
	4.6	3.55	1.8	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.71
	5.07	3.81	1.77
	4.75	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.8	3.72	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (4.15)	3.7 ↑ (3.51)	1.75 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
19.9%

Draw
25.8%

Olympique Marseille
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27.1%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

21.4%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.7%	3%	84.3%

Dijon - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (140 of 166 users predict this - 84.34%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.81% – 89.87%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Ligue 1 (Relegation) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Dijon has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Marseille has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (24%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Marseille is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Dijon won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 1
06.01.21	Reims - Dijon	0:0 ✺
23.12.20	Nîmes - Dijon	1:3 ✺
20.12.20	Dijon - Monaco	0:1 ✺
16.12.20	Dijon - Lille	0:2 ✺
13.12.20	Nantes - Dijon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLLT
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
06.01.21	Olympique Marseille - Montpellier	3:1 ✺
23.12.20	Angers - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
19.12.20	Olympique Marseille - Reims	1:1 ✺
16.12.20	Rennes - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
12.12.20	Olympique Marseille - Monaco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
24.09.19	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	0:0
08.02.19	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	1:2
11.11.18	Olympique Marseille - Dijon	2:0
31.03.18	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	1:3
06.08.17	Olympique Marseille - Dijon	3:0
01.04.17	Olympique Marseille - Dijon	1:1
10.12.16	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	1:2

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