Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 37

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Dijon		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.6
	1.72	3.7	4.35
	1.68	3.84	5.52
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.67	3.82	5.1	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.05)	3.69 ↑ (3)	4.73 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
55.1%

Draw
25.2%

Paris FC
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.7%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dijon's performance.

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dijon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	9.5%	7.1%

Dijon - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: Dijon will win (35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.06% – 94.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Reynet B. (G) 26. Joly P. 32. Toure Z. (C) 3. Congre D. 12. Fofana A. 93. Thioune O. 6. Ahlinvi M. 9. Tchaouna L. 28. Soumare B. 7. Ake M. 8. Le Bihan M.	40. Filipovic I. (G) 13. Dabila K. 24. Bernauer M. 15. Lefort J. 35. Sanogo S. 8. Macon Y. 11. Kebbal I. 14. Mandouki C. (C) 7. Chahiri M. 17. Hamel P. 20. Lopez J.
Substitutes
16. Allagbe S. (G) 5. Coulibaly S. 14. Marie J. 25. Pi J. 10. Silva X. 27. Traore C. 22. Walid N. O. B.	9. Boutaib K. 1. Demarconnay V. (G) 21. Guilavogui M. 19. Kante 6. Lasne P. 33. Nengoue A. 12. Phiri L.
Coaches
Dupraz P.	Laurey T.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 7).

Dijon has the most likely position - 15 (18.95%), project points - 44, currently - 41, a chance of relegated (28%), not chance of promoted.

Paris FC has the most likely position - 8 (23.91%), project points - 54, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, not chance of promoted.

This event has quality 35, importance 50, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dijon won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Dijon is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dijon won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
20.05.23	Nîmes - Dijon	1:2 ✺
13.05.23	Dijon - Amiens	3:0 ✺
06.05.23	Annecy - Dijon	1:1 ✺
01.05.23	Sochaux - Dijon	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Dijon - Bastia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWTWT
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
20.05.23	Paris FC - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Rodez - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
06.05.23	Paris FC - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Metz - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Paris FC - Nîmes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.01.23	Paris FC - Dijon	2:1
11.04.22	Paris FC - Dijon	2:2
30.10.21	Dijon - Paris FC	0:1
Club Friendly
16.07.19	Paris FC - Dijon	0:1
French Ligue 2
18.04.16	Dijon - Paris FC	3:0
27.11.15	Paris FC - Dijon	0:3

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