The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toulouse 57.6%
Draw 26.8%
Bastia 15.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
26.9%
14.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.3%
6.5%
3.2%
Toulouse - Bastia Predictions
Users Predictions:
Toulouse will win
(28 of 31 users predict this - 90.32%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.91% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (41%), has project points - 76, has currently - 7, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (68%), has a chance of win league (41%).
Bastia has the most likely position - 20 (12.54%), has project points - 41, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bastia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Toulouse is indisputable favorite.
In this match Toulouse is absolute favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.