Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mehdi Hüseynzadə adına Sumqayıt şəhər stadionu (Sumqayit) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Karabaev S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:45	Disney+
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Chile	14:45	Disney+
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 15
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Dinamo Minsk		Larne

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	8
	1.49	3.75	6.5
	1.52	3.75	7	Watch
	1.5	3.96	7.91
	1.48	3.92	7.41	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6.5
	1.53	4.02	7.5
	1.52	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	3.85 ↑ (3.8)	7.23 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Minsk
62.7%

Draw
24.4%

Larne
13%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.4%

23.8%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

22.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Minsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	4.8%	4.8%

Dinamo Minsk - Larne Predictions

Users Predictions: Dinamo Minsk will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 2. Pigas V. 67. Begunov R. (C) 4. Gavrilovich A. 66. Rai 24. Kulikov D. 26. Kalinin V. 88. Demchenko N. 74. Sedko P. 14. Adeola R. 19. Podstrelov D.	1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. 18. Bolger C. (C) 2. Want S. 3. Ives L. 8. Randall M. 4. Donnelly A. 27. Gallagher C. 6. Thomson J. 29. Ryan A. 9. O'Neill P.
Substitutes
29. Amian B. 17. Bakhar I. 49. Karatai A. (G) 10. Khvashchinskiy V. 81. Melnichenko T. 3. Okoro J. 6. Politevich S. 33. Polyakov D. 20. Sachivko A. 80. Shkolik I. 11. Zherdev G.	50. Collett D. (G) 31. Joe B. (G) 30. Lusty M. 14. Magee B. 16. McEneff J. 7. McKendry C. 25. Sloan D. 20. Todd S.
Coaches
Skripchenko V.	Haveron G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Gavrilovich A. 🟨,
31', Kalinin V. 🟨,
33', Randall M. 🟨,
36', Ryan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Adeola R. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
46', Podstrelov D. ↓, Zherdev G. ↑,
47', Gallagher C. 🟨,
50', Want S. 🟨,
59', Ryan A. ↓, McEneff J. ↑,
59', Randall M. ↓, Sloan D. ↑,
65', Bolger C. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Gavrilovich A. (Pen),
73', 2 - 0, Zherdev G. ⚽, Pigas V. (A),
76', Thomson J. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
76', O'Neill P. ↓, McKendry C. ↑,
83', Sedko P. ↓, Okoro J. ↑,
89', Kulikov D. ↓, Amian B. ↑,
90+2', Bolger C. 🟥,
90+3', Begunov R. ↓, Politevich S. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Mehdi Hüseynzadə adına Sumqayıt şəhər stadionu.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Larne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dinamo Minsk is certain favorite.

There will not play in Larne: Graham S. (Red Card) Omar A. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dinamo Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
07.12.24	Dinamo Brest - Dinamo Minsk	1:1 ✺
02.12.24	Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Dinamo Minsk - Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.11.24	Dinamo Minsk - BATE Borisov	1:0 ✺
11.11.24	Neman Grodno - Dinamo Minsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLWT
- Larne FC
Northern Irish League Cup
04.12.24	Annagh United - Larne	0:5 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
01.12.24	Larne - Cliftonville	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Larne	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
19.11.24	Institute FC - Larne	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
16.11.24	Larne - Linfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTLWL

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