Match Info

ETHIOPIA: Premier League - Round 21

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Addis Abeba Stadium (Addis Abeba)


	Ethiopian Medhin		Dire Dawa City

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.1	5
	1.71	3.15	5
	1.65	3.19	5.53
	1.69	3.16	5.55
	1.64	3.13	5.91
	1.71	3.15	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)	3.15 ↑ (2.9)	5.33 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
54.1%

Draw
28.8%

Dire Dawa City
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

31.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

30.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ethiopian Medhin - Dire Dawa City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nuri A. (G) 14. Abera M. 21. Gebreselassie N. 18. Gezahegn W. 24. Kaiwa A. 3. Kassaye Y. 2. Kekaleb B. 7. Sani A. 5. Sherefa H. 17. Tefera D. 19. Tesfaye A.	1. Merne A. (G) 4. Asebe A. 8. Getachew S. 16. Hassen H. 25. Musige C. 7. Mussa M. 29. Reshid A. 6. Semu T. 11. Tunjo A. 12. Yesouf A. 21. Zeray G.
Substitutes
10. Abdisa J. 23. Adane M. 12. Awlachew D. 47. Belachew B. 9. Dereje A. 26. Girmachew H. (G) 20. Husien R. 30. Kedir A. (G) 11. Kemal H. 22. Mohamed Y. 13. Segebo Y. 4. Tute W.	39. Abebayehu S. 42. Ali K. 27. Degu D. 23. Ganiyu I. 34. Gebra D. 13. Kassaye A. (G) 22. Meki A. 3. Mohammed M. 18. Shamil A. 30. Tofik H. (G) 5. Yakob J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Abera M. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14).

Recent matches Ethiopian Medhin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dire Dawa is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Dire Dawa have a series of home games.

In this match Ethiopian Medhin is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ethiopian Medhin won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:5 (average 2.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ethiopian Medhin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
01.03.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
10.02.25	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:3 ✺
05.02.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
02.03.25	Dire Dawa City - Mechal	0:0 ✺
10.02.25	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:3 ✺
03.02.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
31.01.25	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Dire Dawa City - Saint George	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
10.02.25	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:3
17.05.24	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:5
11.01.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Dire Dawa City	1:2
16.05.23	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:3
23.11.22	Ethiopian Medhin - Dire Dawa City	1:3

Ethiopian Medhin - Dire Dawa City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide