Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Dire Dawa City		Welayta Dicha

	1	X	2
	3.05	3	2.2
	3.39	2.9	2.11
	3.4	2.7	2.15
	3.48	2.88	2.14	Watch
	2.25	2.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.2)	2.82 ↑ (2.6)	2.32 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dire Dawa City
29%

Draw
32.1%

Welayta Dicha
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

33.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.4%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dire Dawa City's form might have worsened.

Welayta Dicha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Welayta Dicha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dire Dawa City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Welayta Dicha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dire Dawa City - Welayta Dicha Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Welayta Dicha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Welayta Dicha (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Welayta Dicha (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 🟥,
65', 0 - 1, ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Welayta Dicha might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dire Dawa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Welayta Dicha	38	11	18	9	37:31	6	51
18	Dire Dawa	38	9	15	14	27:41	-14	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
22.02.26	Hawassa City - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Arba Minch - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Hadiya Hossana	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTWTT
- Welayta Dicha
Ethiopian Premier League
21.02.26	Welayta Dicha - Mechal	4:3 ✺
06.02.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Welayta Dicha	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Welayta Dicha - Adama City	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Ethio Electric - Welayta Dicha	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
23.10.25	Welayta Dicha - Dire Dawa City	0:1
23.06.25	Welayta Dicha - Dire Dawa City	1:0
28.09.24	Dire Dawa City - Welayta Dicha	4:1
11.04.24	Welayta Dicha - Dire Dawa City	1:1
30.11.23	Dire Dawa City - Welayta Dicha	1:1
08.06.23	Welayta Dicha - Dire Dawa City	3:1
13.12.22	Dire Dawa City - Welayta Dicha	0:1

Dire Dawa City - Welayta Dicha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide