Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	Campeones, NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Matagalpa		Walter Ferretti

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.75
	2.3	3.2	2.78	Watch
	2.34	3.35	2.78
	2.37	3.43	2.81	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.42	3.33	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.33)	3.27 ↓ (3.46)	2.79 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matagalpa
39.2%

Draw
28%

Walter Ferretti
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matagalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Walter Ferretti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walter Ferretti than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Matagalpa - Walter Ferretti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 3 - 0, ⚽,
86', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 2.

Matagalpa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Walter Ferretti has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Matagalpa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Matagalpa	9	3	0	6	4:16	-12	9
8	Ferretti	10	2	2	6	14:18	-4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matagalpa FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
15.04.26	Matagalpa - Managua	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Matagalpa - Diriangén	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	UNAN Managua - Matagalpa	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Matagalpa - Real Madriz	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL
- Deportivo Walter Ferretti
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
15.04.26	Real Estelí - Walter Ferretti	2:4 ✺
12.04.26	Managua - Walter Ferretti	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Walter Ferretti - Rancho Santana	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Walter Ferretti - Diriangén	2:5 ✺
04.03.26	Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
18.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Matagalpa	0:3
05.11.25	Walter Ferretti - Matagalpa	1:2
31.08.25	Matagalpa - Walter Ferretti	2:2
14.09.24	Walter Ferretti - Matagalpa	1:1
17.03.24	Walter Ferretti - Matagalpa	2:1
21.01.24	Matagalpa - Walter Ferretti	1:0
27.09.23	Matagalpa - Walter Ferretti	2:1

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