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Current Win Probability
Matagalpa 34.6%
Draw 27.6%
Walter Ferretti 37.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.7%
28%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
26.5%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matagalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Walter Ferretti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walter Ferretti than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Matagalpa - Walter Ferretti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
(1 - 5)
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8th and 6th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 3.
Matagalpa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Walter Ferretti has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Walter Ferretti may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Matagalpa has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Matagalpa has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:14 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Matagalpa against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 10:3 goals (averaging 2:0.6 per game).
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