Match Info

Stars League - Round 37

Date: 27 June 2025, Friday


	Diyala		Naft Al-Basra

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.8	3.6
	1.88	3.15	4.2
				Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.14	Watch
	2.04	2.96	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.06)	3 ↑ (2.93)	3.91 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diyala
46.4%

Draw
30.3%

Naft Al-Basra
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

31.1%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

30.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Diyala - Naft Al Basra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Naft Al-Basra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Mhaisen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 1 - 1, Zeke Omwele A. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Ouro-Agoro I. (Pen),
81', 2 - 2, Jaffal M. (Pen),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 18).

Diyala is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Naft Al-Basra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Naft Al-Basra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Diyala will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
19.06.25	Al-Qasim - Diyala	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Diyala - Al-Karkh	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Diyala - Duhok	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala	1:0 ✺
12.05.25	Diyala - Arbil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWLW
- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
20.06.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:3 ✺
14.06.25	Zakho - Naft Al-Basra	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Newroz - Naft Al-Basra	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Naft Al-Basra - Najaf	0:0 ✺
07.05.25	Al-Hudood - Naft Al-Basra	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
29.01.25	Naft Al-Basra - Diyala	1:0

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