Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)

Referee: Renzi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Novara		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.87
	2.28	3.1	2.95	Watch
	2.51	3.15	3.24
	2.26	3.14	3.07	Watch
	2.45	2.75	3.2
	2.4	3.23	2.92	Watch
	2.27	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.32)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)	3.03 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
39.5%

Draw
29.9%

Ospitaletto
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.5%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

29.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Novara - Ospitaletto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Brancolini F. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 58. Miceli M. 15. Khailoti O. 77. Donadio C. 19. Collodel R. (C) 99. Basso G. 3. Lartey S. 11. Ledonne N. 7. Lanini E. 20. da Graca C.	22. Ferrante M. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 15. Parmiggiani P. 4. Nessi R. 20. Casali M. 43. Guarneri M. 28. Panatti M. (C) 26. Mondini G. 14. Galuppini F. 9. Gobbi F. 77. Stefanoni D.
Substitutes
22. Anfossi P. (G) 36. Arboscello R. 1. Boseggia E. (G) 71. D'Alessio L. 5. Lorenzini F. 35. Pregnolato L. 14. Romano M. 70. Valdesi A. 23. Zambataro E. 9. Zuppel D.	10. Cantamessa S. 1. Fratti C. (G) 55. Mundi R. (G) 18. Paganotti M. 17. Plutnik A. 11. Ragnoli Galli F. 8. Tigani E. 21. Torri A. 45. Valente M. 24. Valota G.
Coaches
Birindelli A.	Quaresmini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Gualandris M. 🟨,
25', Donadio C. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Galuppini F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Basso G. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
46', Lanini E. ↓, Romano M. ↑,
51', Donadio C. ↓, Zuppel D. ↑,
53', Guarneri M. 🟨,
59', Cannavaro A. 🟨,
65', Ledonne N. 🟨,
66', Stefanoni D. 🟨,
71', Lartey S. ↓, Valdesi A. ↑,
75', Guarneri M. ↓, Tigani E. ↑,
80', Nessi R. 🟨,
83', Galuppini F. ↓, Cantamessa S. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Mondini G. ⚽,
87', Cannavaro A. ↓, Zambataro E. ↑,
88', Stefanoni D. ↓, Valente M. ↑,
88', Gobbi F. ↓, Torri A. ↑,
90+2', Zuppel D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 13th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Novara holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Novara has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Novara against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	8	15
11	Novara	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.26	Novara - Carpi	2:2 ✺
17.09.26	Lumezzane - Novara	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Novara - Pergolettese	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Renate - Novara	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Novara - Livorno	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLWL
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.26	Ospitaletto - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Carpi - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ospitaletto - Juventus U23	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Ospitaletto - Union ArzignanoChiampo	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	AlbinoLeffe - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.26	Ospitaletto - Novara	0:2
21.12.25	Novara - Ospitaletto	0:3

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