Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Don Benito		Cabeza del Buey

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.95
	1.92	3.14	4.02
	1.91	3.05	3.99
	1.87	3.14	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.89)	3.11 ↑ (3.09)	3.99 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
48.1%

Draw
29.2%

Cabeza del Buey
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

29.2%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.7%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Cabeza del Buey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cabeza del Buey than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Don Benito - Cabeza del Buey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Gueye M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cabeza del Buey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cabeza del Buey has had a series of away games.

In this match, Don Benito is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cabeza del Buey	5	1	2	2	6:6	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.02.26	Llerenense - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Don Benito - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Pueblonuevo - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Don Benito - Montijo	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Don Benito - Moralo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWWT
- CD Cabeza del Buey
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.02.26	Azuaga - Cabeza del Buey	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Calamonte - Cabeza del Buey	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Cabeza del Buey	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Cabeza del Buey - Jaraíz	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Montehermoso - Cabeza del Buey	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTTW

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