Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday


	Don Álvaro		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	12	6.5	1.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	12 ↑ (6.2)	6.5 ↑ (3.8)	1.14 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 11.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Álvaro
7.5%

Draw
13.8%

Mérida AD
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

24%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Don Álvaro's form might have worsened.

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mérida AD's recent form is better than expected.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Alvaro M. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Beneit R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 3, Rashid ⚽,
73', 0 - 4, Chiqui ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Mérida AD is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Don Álvaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Don Álvaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Álvaro
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Don Álvaro - Mérida AD	0:4 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
21.04.24	Don Álvaro - Villafranca	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Fuente de Cantos - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Don Álvaro - Don Benito	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Diocesano - Don Álvaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.06.25	Real Sociedad B - Mérida AD	0:1 ET ✺
01.06.25	Mérida AD - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.05.25	Mérida AD - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Recreativo Huelva - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Mérida AD - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.24	Don Álvaro - Mérida AD	0:4
22.07.23	Don Álvaro - Mérida AD	1:4
22.07.22	Don Álvaro - Mérida AD	1:2

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