Match Info

League One - Round 35

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Eco-Power Stadium (Doncaster)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)


	Doncaster Rovers		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2.05
	3.5	3.6	1.95
	3.15	3.7	2.08
	3.19	3.88	2.17
	3.11	3.72	2.11	Watch
	3	3.5	2.1
	3.2	3.72	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.43)	3.7 ↑ (3.55)	2.07 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doncaster Rovers
29.6%

Draw
25.3%

Cardiff City
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

26.3%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

26.6%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	8.3%	66.7%

Doncaster Rovers - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Cardiff will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 1 - 50%). Cardiff (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 12. Byrne N. 6. McGrath J. 23. Senior J. 22. Gotts R. 7. Molyneux L. 4. Bailey O. (C) 15. Clifton H. 17. Middleton G. 9. Hanlan B.	13. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 4. Osho G. 48. Lawlor D. 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. 18. Robertson A. 11. Tanner O. 27. Colwill J. 10. Colwill R. (C) 45. Ashford C.
Substitutes
8. Broadbent G. 1. Clark Z. (G) 33. Close B. 11. Gibson J. 18. Lee E. 5. Pearson M. 14. Sharp B.	12. Chambers C. 2. Fish W. 44. Kpakio R. 47. Robinson C. 23. Scanlon C. 14. Turnbull D. 16. Willock C.
Coaches
McCann G.	Barry-Murphy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Robertson A. ⚽, Lawlor D. (A),
45+1', Gotts R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', 0 - 2, Lawlor D. ⚽, Ng P. (A),
56', 0 - 3, Ashford C. ⚽, Colwill R. (A),
58', Byrne N. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
58', McGrath J. ↓, Close B. ↑,
61', Lawlor D. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
64', Gotts R. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
74', Bagan J. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,
74', Colwill R. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
74', Ng P. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
75', Middleton G. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
75', Hanlan B. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
77', Broadbent G. 🟨,
80', Tanner O. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 4, Robinson C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Doncaster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Doncaster has had a series of away games.

Cardiff will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Doncaster: Grehan S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cardiff: King E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Doncaster: Clark Z. (Inactive) Okoronkwo F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Davies I. (Inactive) Salech Y. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Doncaster won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Outrights of English League One for now

Doncaster: 1.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Doncaster	8	2	3	3	9:9	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Doncaster Rovers - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.23%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
21.02.26	Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Doncaster Rovers - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.02.26	Huddersfield Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
07.02.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Doncaster Rovers	4:0 ✺
03.02.26	Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWLW
- Cardiff City
English League One
21.02.26	Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City	5:2 ✺
17.02.26	Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Cardiff City - Luton Town	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Rotherham United - Cardiff City	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Burton Albion - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
13.12.25	Cardiff City - Doncaster Rovers	4:3

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