The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Doncaster Rovers 27.2%
Draw 29.2%
Shrewsbury Town 43.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
29%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.6%
21%
51.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Doncaster Rovers's form might have worsened.
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shrewsbury Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Doncaster Rovers - Shrewsbury Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 19).
Doncaster has the most likely position - 24 (44.08%), has project points - 37, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (85%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Shrewsbury has the most likely position - 20 (9.9%), has project points - 51, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Doncaster has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Shrewsbury is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Doncaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Shrewsbury will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Shrewsbury to win the game is with odds 2.21.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-4.
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