Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 6

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)


	Carlisle United		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.4
	2.3	3.2	3.3
	2.3	3.18	3.52
	2.2	3	3
	2.22	3.32	3.28	Watch
	2.28	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.52)	3.2 ↓ (3.28)	3.26 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
41.8%

Draw
29.4%

Shrewsbury Town
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

28.4%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shrewsbury Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Carlisle United - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Andresson J. (G) 2. Back F. 5. Lavelle S. 6. Huntington P. (C) 22. Mellish J. 3. Armer J. 7. Gibson J. 8. Guy C. 4. Moxon O. 24. Maguire S. 27. Plange L.	1. Marosi M. (G) 5. Feeney M. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 4. Anderson J. 7. Winchester C. 14. Perry T. 20. Bayliss T. 42. Kenneh N. 3. Benning M. 9. Bowman R. 11. Udoh D.
Substitutes
12. Ablade T. 26. Barclay B. 14. Garner J. 16. Harris J. J. 1. Holy T. (G) 10. McCalmont A. 19. Robinson J.	17. Bennett E. 25. Fleming B. 27. Mata M. 10. Phillips K. 15. Sobowale T. 6. Sraha J. 37. Watts H.
Coaches
Simpson P.	Taylor M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 0.

Carlisle has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Shrewsbury is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carlisle will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English League One
26.08.23	Port Vale - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Carlisle United - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
15.08.23	Carlisle United - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Oxford United - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Harrogate Town - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
26.08.23	Fleetwood Town - Shrewsbury Town	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
15.08.23	Shrewsbury Town - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Stevenage Borough - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.23	Leeds United - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
09.08.22	Shrewsbury Town - Carlisle United	3:2
English FA Cup
04.12.21	Carlisle United - Shrewsbury Town	1:2
English League Two
10.02.15	Carlisle United - Shrewsbury Town	1:2
16.09.14	Shrewsbury Town - Carlisle United	1:0
English League One
25.03.14	Carlisle United - Shrewsbury Town	0:0
05.10.13	Shrewsbury Town - Carlisle United	2:2
29.03.13	Carlisle United - Shrewsbury Town	2:2

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