The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wigan Athletic 55%
Draw 26.4%
Shrewsbury Town 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
25.2%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
21.6%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wigan Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
0%
8.3%
Wigan Athletic - Shrewsbury Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Wigan Athletic will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 17. Sibbick T. 15. Kerr J. (C) 4. Aimson W. 5. Sessegnon S. 16. Adeeko B. 8. Smith M. 18. Smith J. 10. Aasgaard T. 11. Olakigbe M. 28. Taylor D.
31. Blackman J. (G) 2. Hoole L. 5. Feeney M. 6. Feeney J. 3. Benning M. 17. Gilliead A. 12. Ojo F. 26. Shipley J. 29. O'Reilly T. 27. Marquis J. (C) 11. Sagoe Jr C.
Substitutes
23. Carragher J. 9. Hugill J. 20. McManaman C. 21. Smith S. 29. Thomas S. 12. Watson T. (G) 6. Weir J.
18. Bloxham T. 19. Castledine L. 9. Lloyd G. 14. Perry T. 16. Pierre A. 4. Rossiter J. 13. Young J. (G)
Coaches
Maloney S.
Ainsworth G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Aasgaard T. ⚽, Smith J. (A),
27', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
36', Taylor D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 2 - 0, Taylor D. ⚽, Smith M. (A),
60', Sagoe Jr C. ↓, Bloxham T. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Aimson W. (Own goal),
68', O'Reilly T. ↓, Castledine L. ↑,
68', Marquis J. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
71', Smith J. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
71', Sessegnon S. ↓, Carragher J. ↑,
79', Smith M. 🟨,
80', Taylor D. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
80', Smith M. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
80', Feeney M. ↓, Pierre A. ↑,
82', Adeeko B. 🟨,
84', Lloyd G. 🟨,
87', 2 - 2, Lloyd G. ⚽,
90+1', Hoole L. 🟨,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 5.
Recent matches Wigan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Shrewsbury is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Shrewsbury could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Wigan have a series of guest games.
In this match Wigan is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Wigan won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:5 (average 1.7:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.3:0.3).