Match Info

League Two - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cheltenham Town		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.5
	2.68	3.25	2.58	Watch
	2.59	3.44	2.54	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.5
	2.65	3.22	2.56	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.98)	3.26 ↑ (3.14)	2.54 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
35%

Draw
28.5%

Shrewsbury Town
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.5%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

29%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, 2nd Half - Cheltenham (8.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cheltenham Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Day J. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 6. Cundy R. 5. Wilson J. (C) 27. Tomkinson J. 8. Young L. 26. Stevenson B. 21. Hutchinson I. 11. Thomas J. 31. Adelakun H. 20. Bickerstaff J.	12. Brook W. (G) 2. Hoole L. 4. Anderson T. 5. Boyle W. 20. Kabia I. 14. Perry T. 25. Ruffels J. 6. Clucas S. 11. Scully A. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. (C)
Substitutes
22. Archer E. 41. Diallo M. (G) 3. Harmon G. 4. Kinsella L. 16. Martin J. 12. Power D. 15. Taylor T.	15. Aneke Ch. 3. Benning M. 38. England I. 43. Gray W. 1. Harrison E. (G) 7. McDermott T. 10. Sang T.
Coaches
Cotterill S.	Appleton M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Adelakun H. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Bickerstaff J. ⚽, Adelakun H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 3 - 0, Hutchinson I. (Penalty Awarded),
63', 3 - 1, Marquis J. ⚽, Boyle W. (A),
69', Scully A. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
70', Day J. 🟨,
73', Boyle W. 🟨,
75', Hutchinson I. ↓, Archer E. ↑,
78', Lloyd G. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
86', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
89', Thomas J. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
89', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
90', Perry T. 🟨,
90+2', McDermott T. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 18 and 20)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3.

Cheltenham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shrewsbury's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Mazionis J. (Inactive) Miller G. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cheltenham: Broom R. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Cheltenham Town - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.14%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League Two
19.12.25	Barrow - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Buxton	6:2 ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Colchester United - Cheltenham Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WTWWL
- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
20.12.25	Shrewsbury Town - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Walsall - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Shrewsbury Town - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Sutton United - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ET ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Shrewsbury Town - Gillingham	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.12.23	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:0
05.08.23	Shrewsbury Town - Cheltenham Town	1:0
29.12.22	Shrewsbury Town - Cheltenham Town	0:1
01.10.22	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:0
18.12.21	Shrewsbury Town - Cheltenham Town	3:1
20.11.21	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:1
Club Friendly
23.07.19	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:2

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