Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 13 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Nanhai District Stadium (Foshan)


	Dongguan Guanlian		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.24	3.07	3.42
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.17	3.18	3.34
	2.23	3.05	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)	3.05 ↓ (3.07)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dongguan Guanlian
41.9%

Draw
30.2%

Yanbian Longding
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

30.3%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dongguan Guanlian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dongguan Guanlian than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Dongguan Guanlian - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dongguan Guanlian will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Yanbian Longding will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dongguan Guanlian: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Zhang X. (G) 20. Wang Xingqiang 22. Zhao Mingjian 14. Yao Xilong 28. Zhang Xingbo 23. Loe R. 32. Ma Junliang 30. Huang Chuqi 8. Ruan Jun 27. Chen H. 10. Onuegbu K.	19. Dong Jialin (G) 16. Gong Hankui 3. Wang Peng 26. Xu Wenguang 20. Jin Taiyan 8. Sun Jun 31. Qian Changjie 14. Li L. 36. Wang B. 17. Li Shibin 15. Ruan Da Silva Chagas M.
Substitutes
9. Beshathan Zanhar 1. Chen Junxu (G) 21. Cui Xinglong 35. He Mingli 18. Li Canming 15. Sun D. 26. Su Shihao 11. Wu Jianfei 42. Wu Y. 2. Zhang Sijie 36. Zhong Ziqin	7. Han Guanghui 10. Ivo 18. Jin Chengjun 23. Khedrup Lobsang 6. Li Qiang 39. Liu Bo 1. Salajidin Akramjan (G) 9. Valdumar 2. Wang Chengkuai 30. Yang Jingfan 38. Zhang Y. 11. Zhou Bingxu
Coaches
Wang Hongwei	Kim Bong-Gil

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).

Dongguan Guanlian is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Yanbian Longding is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yanbian Longding could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dongguan Guanlian will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dongguan Guanlian won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Dongguan Guanlian won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dongguan Guanlian
Chinese Jia League
09.09.23	Qingdao West Coast - Dongguan Guanlian	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Dandong Tengyue	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Dongguan Guanlian	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Liaoning Tieren	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWW
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
10.09.23	Yanbian Longding - Jinan Xingzhou	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Yanbian Longding - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Yanbian Longding - Wuxi Wugou	2:2 ✺
13.08.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Yanbian Longding	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
03.06.23	Yanbian Longding - Dongguan Guanlian	2:0
Chinese Yi League
27.10.22	Dongguan Guanlian - Yanbian Longding	0:2

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